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Our Energy Transition Role

ADS's Energy Mix Matrix and Energy & Climate Dashboard: real, sourced data on Pakistan's industrial energy transition.

ADS Industrial Intelligence · Field Data 2024-2026

The Energy Mix Matrix

How Pakistan's export industries actually power themselves - mill by mill, tannery by tannery, factory floor by factory floor. Every number below comes from ADS's own field surveys, not modelled estimates.

55.6%
of national installed capacity is still thermal (FY24-25)
12.2%
installed capacity from solar + wind - but only 4.8% of actual generation
17 GW
of solar panels imported in 2024 alone - almost half the grid's total capacity
800 MW
CTBCM wheeling quantum to be auctioned over 5 years from Competitive Market Operation Date

Sector × Energy Source

Each row is drawn from its own independent ADS field survey. Methods differ by sector - click any cell for the exact question, sample, and source.

SectorGrid RelianceDiesel RelianceSolar AdoptionDominant Configuration
Textile
80 mills - Faisalabad (50) . Multan (30)
Leather
40 firms - Lahore/Kasur (20) . Karachi (20)
Food & Beverages
243 survey responses, national
Sports Apparel
Sialkot cluster - coverage expanding

Metrics are not directly comparable across rows - a textile mill's "solar adoption" figure measures installed capacity share; a leather tannery's measures firms using solar during outages. Open the dossier on any cell to see the precise definition ADS's field team used.

At a Glance

Energy & Climate Dashboard

Real, sourced figures drawn live from ADS research and events.

12

Research Publications

17

Events

73

Media Items

34

Videos

5

Industrial Sectors Tracked

Sector Coverage

Energy Transition by Sector

SectorKey StudyCBAM RiskSolar PotentialStudiesStatus
Textile IndustryIndustrialSource: Solarization Trends in Industry HighVery High6In Transition
Energy & CTBCMIndustrialSource: Understanding Pakistan's Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market (CTBCM) N/AVery High5Policy Focus
Sports IndustryIndustrialSource: Decarbonizing Sports & Apparel MediumHigh4In Transition
Food & BeverageIndustrialSource: Energy Landscape of the Food and Beverages Sector: Pathways to Energy Transition and Decarbonization MediumMedium3Early Stage
Leather IndustryIndustrialSource: Energy Landscape and Emission Analysis of Pakistan's Leather Industry HighHigh2Early Stage
Climate & Land RightsSource: Land, Water, Rights, and Climate Change: A Cross-Regional Dialogue N/AN/A2Advocacy

Solarization Rate by Sector

Source: Solarization Trends in Industry Source: Decarbonizing Sports & Apparel Source: Energy Landscape and Emission Analysis of Pakistan's Leather Industry Source: Energy Landscape of the Food and Beverages Sector: Pathways to Energy Transition and Decarbonization
Energy Mix & NDC

Nationally Determined Contribution Progress

Pakistan's Industrial Energy Mix

Source: STRM Conceptual Framework
Pakistan NDC 3.0 Target18%
Target
30% GHG Emissions Reduction by 2030
Baseline
2015 baseline
Period
2030 target
Source: Provincial Consultation on NDCs 3.0, Peshawar
34%
Industrial sector decarbonization
2/4
Provincial consultations completed
Recent Activity

Events & Publications

Activity Timeline

  • Driving a Just Industrial Transition: Role of MDBs and Solar Rush in Pakistan's Textile Sector (Launch of ADS' Two Research Studies & Multi-Stakeholder Policy Dialogue)

    13 Jan 2026

  • Studies Launch: Solar Mapping of the Textile Sector, Solarization Trends in Leather & Solar Companies

    25 Nov 2025 · Faisalabad, Pakistan

  • Training: Beyond CO₂: Emission Calculations, Methane Monitoring & Real Sequestration Metrics

    15 Oct 2025 · Peshawar, Pakistan

  • ADS' Midterm Report – Jan to Jun 2025

    3 Sept 2025

  • One-day Technical Training Workshop on Emission Calculation, GHG Accounting and LCA in Textile Sector

    20 Jul 2025

  • Textiles at the Crossroads: Navigating CBAM, CTBCM & Tariff Shifts

    26 May 2025 · Faisalabad, Pakistan

  • Multan Stakeholder Consultation on NDC 3.0

    13 May 2025 · Multan

  • Climate Action Summit BZU 2025

    5 May 2025 · Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan

Key Publications

  • Navigating the CTBCM Transition: Use of System Charges and Battery Energy Storage as Determinants of Industrial Decarbonization Viability in Pakistan29 Jul 2026energy-transition

    Analyzes Pakistan's proposed uniform Use of System Charge and mandatory Battery Energy Storage System requirements under CTBCM, finding that competitively procured renewable electricity stays viable against the B-4 industrial tariff up to a bilateral energy price of about Rs. 15/kWh, while BESS co-location typically pays back in 5-8 years.

  • Understanding Pakistan's Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market (CTBCM)15 Jul 2026energy-transition

    Examines Pakistan's Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market (CTBCM): the auction mechanics, renewable energy integration, and practical readiness steps for export-oriented industrial consumers.

  • Brand–Supplier Shared Responsibility: Advancing Renewable Energy Transition in Pakistan's Textile Sector8 May 2026energy-transition

    Proposes a shared-responsibility model in which international brands co-invest in renewable energy, offer long-term purchase agreements, and provide technical support to their Pakistani textile suppliers.

  • Impact of NEPRA Prosumer Regulations 2026: A Case Study for Textile Sector18 Mar 2026energy-transition

    Finds that the shift from net-metering to net-billing makes settlement design, not panel prices, the deciding factor in whether rooftop solar remains viable for textile mills.

  • Exploring Competitive Trading Bilateral Contracts Market (CTBCM) through Fingertips' Model12 Mar 2026energy-transition

    Traces CTBCM's evolution since its May 2022 launch from the old Single-Buyer Model, with a 2030 outlook drawing on NEPRA and World Bank data.

  • Energy Landscape and Emission Analysis of Pakistan's Leather Industry3 Feb 2026energy-transition

    Maps energy use and emissions across tannery clusters and proposes institutional, regulatory, and financing mechanisms for the leather sector's decarbonization.

  • Roadmap for Rapid Solarization of Pakistan's Textile Clusters (Faisalabad & Multan)30 Jan 2026energy-transition

    Outlines off-grid and on-grid pathways for solarizing the Faisalabad and Multan textile clusters, including wheeling tariff options for smaller enterprises.

  • Scoping Study of Off-Grid Solar PV and Captive Power Systems in the Textile Sector: Techno-economic and Environmental Analysis15 Dec 2025energy-transition

    Combines field research and techno-economic modeling to propose a dual-track strategy of centralized and distributed solar for the textile sector, backed by clearer regulation and blended financing.

Policy & Consultation

Pakistan's Climate Policy Journey

NDC 3.0 Consultations

  • Islamabad, Federal LevelCompleted
    2024 to 2026Completed
    Source: ADS Annual Round-up of Activities
  • Multan, Punjab StakeholdersCompleted
    May 2025Completed
    Source: Multan Stakeholder Consultation on NDC 3.0
  • Peshawar, KPK ProvinceCompleted
    Feb 2025Completed
    Source: Provincial Consultation on NDCs 3.0, Peshawar
  • Land, Water & Rights, Cross-RegionalCompleted
    Nov 2024Completed
    Source: Land, Water, Rights, and Climate Change: A Cross-Regional Dialogue

Key Policy Milestones

  1. 2026Jan 2026

    MDBs & Just Transition Study Launch

    ADS research on multilateral development banks' role in Pakistan's solar rush

    ADS Research
    Source: Driving a Just Industrial Transition: Role of MDBs and Solar Rush in Pakistan's Textile Sector (Launch of ADS' Two Research Studies & Multi-Stakeholder Policy Dialogue)
  2. 2025Nov 2025

    Solar Mapping, Textile & Leather Sectors

    Three studies on off-grid solar integration and buyer pressure dynamics

    ADS Research
    Source: Studies Launch: Solar Mapping of the Textile Sector, Solarization Trends in Leather & Solar Companies
  3. 2025Mar to May 2025

    NDC 3.0 Provincial Consultations

    Multan and Peshawar consultations completed, submitted to the Ministry

    ADS LedMinistry Input
    Source: Multan Stakeholder Consultation on NDC 3.0
  4. 20262026

    EU CBAM Implementation Begins

    Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism affects Pakistan's textile and leather exports

    International
    Source: Energy Landscape and Emission Analysis of Pakistan's Leather Industry
Regulatory Watch

Energy & Climate Policy Tracker

Key regulatory developments in Pakistan's energy sector, and what they mean for industry.

CTBCM Phase 2 Launch

Bilateral contracts open to industry

Active
NEPRA / CPPA-G·2026
Source: Understanding Pakistan's Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market (CTBCM)
Impact on industryVery High

Net Metering 3.0 Guidelines

New limits and rates

Just Issued
NEPRA·Jul 2026
Source: Impact of NEPRA Prosumer Regulations 2026: A Case Study for Textile Sector
Impact on industryHigh

BESS Policy Framework

Draft regulations for storage

Draft Stage
NEPRA / MoE·2026
Source: Navigating the CTBCM Transition: Use of System Charges and Battery Energy Storage as Determinants of Industrial Decarbonization Viability in Pakistan
Impact on industryHigh

SBP Green Banking Policy

RE financing mandate

Enforced
State Bank of Pakistan·2023-ongoing
Impact on industryMedium

Wheeling Charges Review

UoSC tariff determination

Pending
NEPRA·Pending 2026
Source: Navigating the CTBCM Transition: Use of System Charges and Battery Energy Storage as Determinants of Industrial Decarbonization Viability in Pakistan
Impact on industryCritical

NDC 3.0 Finalization

Pakistan's updated climate targets

ADS Contributing
MoCC·2027 target
Impact on industryHigh

Looking for financing?

Browse ADS's directory of green loans, climate funds, and RE financing facilities for Pakistani industry.

Open Climate Finance Directory
Reach

Geographic Reach & Training

IslamabadHQ

Policy seminars, NDC consultations, headquarters

Source: Driving a Just Industrial Transition: Role of MDBs and Solar Rush in Pakistan's Textile Sector (Launch of ADS' Two Research Studies & Multi-Stakeholder Policy Dialogue)
FaisalabadTextile

NTU collaboration, textile studies

Source: Roadmap for Rapid Solarization of Pakistan's Textile Clusters (Faisalabad & Multan)
SialkotSports

Sports industry decarbonization

Source: Seminar and Study Launch of the Sports Sector Decarbonization
MultanNDC 3.0

NDC 3.0 stakeholder consultation

Source: Multan Stakeholder Consultation on NDC 3.0
PeshawarNDC 3.0

Provincial NDC consultation, KPK

Source: Provincial Consultation on NDCs 3.0, Peshawar

Training Participants

187
  • GHG Accounting & LCA Workshop

    Jul 2025

    Source: One-day Technical Training Workshop on Emission Calculation, GHG Accounting and LCA in Textile Sector
    34
  • 3-Day Decarbonization Training

    Jun 2024

    Source: 3-Day Training Programme on Global Warming and Significance of De-carbonization (June 6th to June 8th 2024)
    28
  • NDC 3.0, Multan Consultation

    May 2025

    Source: Multan Stakeholder Consultation on NDC 3.0
    45
  • Energy Landscape Seminar

    Nov 2024

    Source: Seminar: Energy Landscape of the Industries
    80
Watch List

Key Alerts

CBAM Risk, Textile & Leatherhigh

The EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism will affect Pakistan's textile and leather exports from 2026. ADS research points to the urgency of rapid decarbonization.

Source: Energy Landscape and Emission Analysis of Pakistan's Leather Industry
CTBCM Implementation Watchwatch

Pakistan's Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market is reshaping industrial energy procurement. ADS's CTBCM research is a key resource for industry.

Source: Understanding Pakistan's Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market (CTBCM)
NDC 3.0 Consultations, Punjab & KPKon-track

ADS completed provincial NDC 3.0 consultations in Multan and Peshawar. Findings were submitted to the Ministry of Climate Change for national target setting.

Source: Provincial Consultation on NDCs 3.0, Peshawar
ADS

Alternate Development Services is a Pakistan-based think tank working on industrial decarbonization, climate finance, and the energy transition.

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